Research
Projects I'm working on.
- Does Better Decision Advice Actually Help? An Empirical Evaluation of AI Advisor Behavior on High-Stakes Decisions
- Factors that increase p(LLM psychosis)
Projects I've worked on.
- Is Kalshi better than European-style vanilla options at predicting the price of Bitcoin?
- Inner Alignment as Reference Class Failure: Mesa-Optimization and the Underdetermination of Inductive Generalization
- Strategic Portfolio Markup Before VC Fundraising: Evidence from 14,947 Fundraise Events
- Unions and Labor Productivity: Theoretical Review, Empirical Strategy, and Meta-Regression Analysis